Funny thing is, renting a home is actually the smart thing to do these days, if you don't already own one that is.
Rates are low
ish right now, but not so long ago they were 18%. Homes are astronomical in price right now too.
Say you borrowed 320k on a home in the inner burbs of briso, and lets say interest rates go up over the next decade, and we assume an average of 12%
Monthly repayments ... $3500
Total amount repaid ... $848 000
That's $875 a
WEEK!
The herd believes that home prices double every 10 years on average and even most real estate agents believe this. The fact is, thay have been doubling in this period. But only since 1970. In the early seventies an average home in a nice burb here sold for $40k, that doubled to 80k, doubled 160k then finally doubled to the current $320 000. 3 doublings in 30 odd years. It wasn't a linear climb but a staggered one.
Wage inflation drove the first to doublings because wages doubled over the period too. In 1970's the "man's" hourly rate was around $4/h. It went up to $8, then in the 1990's to $15 or $16 an hour. Trouble is, wages have stagnated for quite some time, and in many sectors are slipping back ever so slightly? They often slip back in the sense that work-loads are increased and staff are put on as "casuals" and given 20~30 hours a week. Superanuation, another great con game that feeds money into the world's volitile stock markets also bleeds the wage packet but is counted in the total wage. Still, no one aside from contract plumbers and sales engineers are getting over $32/hour. Most people are on 15 or 18 or $20/hour if they are lucky. Take out the super contributions to GMH and HIH "LOL" and you have $15/hour again.
For average home prices to double again in in brisbane we would need either another mad speculator investor driven buy up like in 2002~2005 or we need to see wages go to $40+ an hour. But didn't the federal government just pass it's "slave labor" legislation?
Before 1970 it took 20 years for home prices to double up to $40k. Before that it was an entirely different picture again, with home prices actually flat or going backwards for 30 years. So if you base the near term future on the near term past be prepared for a shock because I can't see any way home prices can go in any direction except down over the next 10 years. And there is going to be a lot of pain if rates go up and wages go down... As they already are it seems.